Rational Ground ● Members
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2026 Election Forecast

Who wins the Senate, the House and every governor's race, and why.

  • Who controls Congress. Each party's chances, rerun daily with the newest polls and money.
  • What if the polls are wrong? See how a 2020-size miss changes who's favored.
  • Every race on its own page: the polls, the money, and who's spending to win it.
  • Live FEC ticker: outside spending as it's reported.
Election Day: Nov. 3 Open the forecast →
The receipts

COVID FOIA Database

What officials knew, and when, in their own words.

  • 646 findings from FOIA releases, court files, congressional reports and the government's own emails.
  • Every finding quotes the document and links to the original.
  • Rated honestly: ★★★ the document says it outright, ★★ it supports it, ★ it's context.
  • Search by topic, person, agency or document.
81 documents · 101 people · updated Sept. 28 Open the database →
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